Researchers from the European Central Bank, European Stability Mechanism, and Universität Bonn propose a new forecasting method called parametric tilting that helps economists incorporate new ...

Large families of bivariate probability models based on Panjer-type relations are proposed. These relations are generated by differential equations of probability generating functions (p.g.fs), ...

Different measures of goodness-of-fit provide information to describe how well models fit the data. However, it’s important to note that these measures have shown modest growth in comparison to the ...

Predictive Distribution Models represent predictions of where a taxon might occur, based on the similarity in environmental characteristics of an area to that found at points of known occurrence for ...